Agentia de Rating Politic a realizat o simulare a alegerilor parlamentare pe baza votului de la alegerile locale din 10 iunie.
Aici aveti disponibila analiza.
Rezultatele pot fi surprinzatoare pentru multi.
– Parlamentul creste cu 77 de mandate, de la 470 la 547 pe situatia voturilor de la locale.
– USL ia 62% din mandatele din Parlament cu 53% din voturi.
– Vedeti si ce s-ar fi intamplat cu PPDD si PDL daca ramanea in vigoare sistemul de vot majoritar intr-un singur tur, anulat de Curtea Constitutionala.
– Incertitudinea privind ce colegii sunt sau nu eligibile e mai mare decat in 2008 in ambele tabere.
Detalii despre analiza si metoda: Au fost corelate sectii de vot, localitati pe fiecare colegiu in parte si a fost aplicata metoda de alocare a mandatelor mixta, proportional-majoritara, care e in vigoare si care a fost aplicata si la alegerile din 2008.
Instrumentul este unul esential in strategiile preelectorale ale partidelor si in desemnarea candidatilor.
Hi,hi,hi! Agentia de rating politic! Hi, hi, hi!
Si daca nu o sa fie asa, caci nu prea ghiciti niciodata, dati faliment? Hi,hi,hi!!!
De ce nu publicati analiza completa pe judete si colegii de deputat si senator.Oricum vor fi diferente majore in decembrie. Dar publicand analiza ne putem distra si noi o saptamana – doua cu luptele pentru ocuparea locurilor eligibile. Sa vezi dat la
gioale,negocieri,promisiuni,lupte fraticide,etc. daca e circ…circ sa fie ….
pentru ca am muncit mult la ea s pt cai in principiu vrem sa mai facem si niste bani, ca altfel gata distractia 🙂
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